Search results

  1. nvalvo

    Who to sell at the trade deadline?

    Edit: posted while drafting!
  2. nvalvo

    A Dream of 2025, What is Going Right and Looks like the Sox can Build On

    The bat needs to be an RHH, too. There is shockingly little RH power in the game right now — not just on the Red Sox. And among our position player prospects, only Yorke (who is getting a bit stale), Campbell (who’s suddenly showing tremendous pop, and could be a quick mover, but is in A ball)...
  3. nvalvo

    Chris Sale (plus $17mil) traded to Atlanta for Vaughn Grissom

    I mostly agree with this, but Sale did have some ominous-sounding shoulder issues and a TJS. It sounds like your unspoken implication is that Whitlock's injuries are at least a little bit predictive. He has had a TJS (in the minors with the Yankees) and a pretty serious hip injury that...
  4. nvalvo

    Chris Sale (plus $17mil) traded to Atlanta for Vaughn Grissom

    Are past pitching injuries predictive of future injuries, or are they not? If I understand you right, you’re taking one side of that argument for Sale (we can exclude his recent injured seasons with the caveat “when healthy”) and the other for Whitlock. Whitlock’s been pretty great “when...
  5. nvalvo

    Chris Sale (plus $17mil) traded to Atlanta for Vaughn Grissom

    I don't blame you. I like Sale, too, and I also expected him to be healthy — and if healthy, quite good. (I don't get the people who don't like Sale. He had a 7.6 fWAR season as a starter for us in a year where we won a title. That's the eleventh best fWAR mark for a pitching season for the...
  6. nvalvo

    Chris Sale (plus $17mil) traded to Atlanta for Vaughn Grissom

    Two things: Dalbec has huge power that enabled him to post that big OPS despite a ~30% strikeout rate in AAA. Grissom is a very different hitter, so he got to that OPS in a very different way: including 66 strikeouts (and 56 walks!) in 465 PA. That’s less than half of Dalbec’s K rate, which I...
  7. nvalvo

    The Amazing Criswell

    Well, it generally takes a weird roster-management disaster for there to be a pre-arb FA with an option left. He’s still technically a rookie, I think, despite a few cups of coffee. The fact that he got $1m rather than the minimum suggests there was at least another team interested.
  8. nvalvo

    Chris Sale (plus $17mil) traded to Atlanta for Vaughn Grissom

    Are people already Grissom skeptics? He's 23, spring training, and is probably still feeling the effects of illness. Also his xwOBA is twice his wOBA. The contact skills are already showing up in the numbers, and the contact quality has been league average. He'll be fine.
  9. nvalvo

    The Amazing Criswell

    It does not seem especially flukey. He gets very little swing and miss, but he's around the zone with a broad array of pitches, so it feels like he earns the chases he gets. Because of the modest strikeouts, I would expect some BABIP-induced blowups, but he isn't getting crushed out there at...
  10. nvalvo

    Josh Winckowski Optioned to AAA for Bello’s activation

    Or are we aiming to sell high on a pitcher at the deadline?
  11. nvalvo

    Chris Sale (plus $17mil) traded to Atlanta for Vaughn Grissom

    It’s not that binary. They could have thought that the dropoff from their *median projection* for Sale to the pitcher who would get his playing time (Houck? Criswell?) would be smaller — even in 2024 — than the expected infield upgrade of adding Grissom. And then we’d still have years of...
  12. nvalvo

    Plummeting Ticket Prices

    Well, I just copped a pair of first-row Sox-Sox tickets behind 3B at Guaranteed Rate for ~$50/each. A weekend day game in June!
  13. nvalvo

    Red Sox, Ceddanne Rafaela agree to contract extension

    I don’t disagree with any of that. Carry on!
  14. nvalvo

    Red Sox, Ceddanne Rafaela agree to contract extension

    I don’t know that I’d conclude this based on a .700 OPS in 100 April ABs in Portland by a 20 year old.
  15. nvalvo

    Red Sox, Ceddanne Rafaela agree to contract extension

    I think the larger point stands, but it bears mentioning that Rafaela roughed up last year’s AAA.
  16. nvalvo

    Why Are Prospects Not Hitting at the MLB Level?

    The lost 2020 season and one fewer minor league affiliate per team seem like they might be factors.
  17. nvalvo

    Let's Predict the 2024 Red Sox Season

    Yeah, the McCaffrey article you mentioned (link) helped crystalize some of how I felt about the Bloom regime. Namely, I thought they were really close. We saw things like Jeffrey Springs sucking here and then going to Tampa and thriving (until he got hurt, anyway). That, to me, suggests that...
  18. nvalvo

    2024 Rotation and Bullpen

    That feels like news on Whitlock! There's been radio silence.
  19. nvalvo

    May: Red Sox discussion, observations and trend tracking...AKA It's not all about the Benjamins

    Well, that logic holds for the blowouts that we're leading. If he hits three solo HRs in a game we lose 9-3, clearly a different dynamic is in play. But back to this season, we've won 8 blowouts and lost 5, and at least 3 of those losses came in the period when he was on the non-IL IL. So I...
  20. nvalvo

    2024 Lineup (What we actually have - no trade speculation.)

    Yes, this. When either Casas or Yoshida near a return — or if the team gets an opportunity, perhaps by trade at the deadline or from the minors, to add a two-way infielder and shift Devers to mostly DH — then Smith is on the clock. In other words, I don't think Dom Smith makes a hypothetical...
Top Bottom