Jayson Tatum's Rise to the Top

lovegtm

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What went unsaid in Timpf's video but is sorta implied is how much Brad understood what he had in Tatum as a player and not trying to make him something he is not. Instead, he focused on getting the correct complementary pieces around him to make this team elite. Ainge, I love, and is a great GM but Brad having coached Tatum and Brown probably better recognized what was necessary to get this team to the next level.
It's underratedly important that Brad still understood the game at a coach level when he became GM. It let him make a lot of moves that had unexpected upside because of how well they fit with Tatum's abilities and Mazzulla's eventual schemes (I think Ime was quite meh/vanilla offensively).
 

riboflav

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Just to pile on, he (Ryen) says this emphatically, like he's debunking some great myth about Tatum being top-5... then he lists his top five and it's like, "Jokic, Giannis, Luka, SGA... and, uh, I have Ant over him now." So, what: 6th best? Fine, whatever, shut up. He's done this a few times now and it's weird and annoying.
Yeah. Whenever I make the mistake of listening to basketball pods, it usually plays out this way.
 

riboflav

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It's underratedly important that Brad still understood the game at a coach level when he became GM. It let him make a lot of moves that had unexpected upside because of how well they fit with Tatum's abilities and Mazzulla's eventual schemes (I think Ime was quite meh/vanilla offensively).
Yeah, Ime was standard current basketball and maybe he will evolve (I didn't watch the Rockets this year so IDK). It was his first gig, after all. But, it's telling how many fans want the Ime experience. Yell at them! Challenge them! Sometimes, that is warranted but that's not really what fans are saying, they actually want this a lot more. Meanwhile, Joe is Belichickian in the press and carving up defense behind the scenes. I am curious how much Ime's assistants last year totally f-cked the Celtics. We talk a lot about how late Joe got the job but how hamstrung was he with Ime assistants who didn't get it or were never going to be on the same page?
 

riboflav

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I just watched the Bob Ryan podcast. So, most outlets are ridiculing Tatum for not stepping up and being the Man and Bob Ryan is saying the opposite in that Tatum still doesn't get it. He needs to stop trying to be the Man! What is wrong with him? When he finally understands that his role is to make his teammates better, Tatum will finally get it. (Which is of course ridiculous because that's where he has grown the most as a player and a man).

Good Lord, it has to suck to be Jayson Tatum right now (obvi money and fame helps). He cannot win. Even if Tatum wins it all we will get the they won in spite of him - Tom Brady early years takes.
 

lars10

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I just watched the Bob Ryan podcast. So, most outlets are ridiculing Tatum for not stepping up and being the Man and Bob Ryan is saying the opposite in that Tatum still doesn't get it. He needs to stop trying to be the Man! What is wrong with him? When he finally understands that his role is to make his teammates better, Tatum will finally get it. (Which is of course ridiculous because that's where he has grown the most as a player and a man).

Good Lord, it has to suck to be Jayson Tatum right now (obvi money and fame helps). He cannot win. Even if Tatum wins it all we will get the they won in spite of him - Tom Brady early years takes.
If that’s what Ryan is saying now then his basketball knowledge has fallen off a cliff. The Boston media has never learned to be positive about anything.. I guess since the most popular names over the years have been the most negative.. or like Reiss have been positive and actually done the work of reporting and been hired away.

Ryan probably still wishes it was the 80s and Bird was still on the floor.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Good Lord, it has to suck to be Jayson Tatum right now (obvi money and fame helps). He cannot win. Even if Tatum wins it all we will get the they won in spite of him - Tom Brady early years takes.
I think if BOS wins the championship, a lot of these JT and team questions go away. I mean you don't hear questions about Giannis even though his team has not very successful the last few years.
 

Euclis20

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I think if BOS wins the championship, a lot of these JT and team questions go away. I mean you don't hear questions about Giannis even though his team has not very successful the last few years.
Situation is a bit different though, Giannis already had the personal validation (2 MVPs) by the time he won his title. Plus, he was a total monster in that finals (35/13/5 on 62% shooting, with a couple of iconic plays at the end of games to seal some wins). Typically top draft picks and young superstars will get that personal success first, but Tatum has flipped that a bit. I think the Celtics as a group will go up in everyone's estimation (if they win the title, they will rightfully be viewed as one of the greatest teams in history), but absent some really unbelievable play, I think regardless of how this year ends Tatum will start next season as no better than 8th (Jokic, Giannis, Luka, SGA, Edwards, Embiid) on most ranking sites next year. It will be BS, but I think that's what happens.
 

riboflav

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Situation is a bit different though, Giannis already had the personal validation (2 MVPs) by the time he won his title. Plus, he was a total monster in that finals (35/13/5 on 62% shooting, with a couple of iconic plays at the end of games to seal some wins). Typically top draft picks and young superstars will get that personal success first, but Tatum has flipped that a bit. I think the Celtics as a group will go up in everyone's estimation (if they win the title, they will rightfully be viewed as one of the greatest teams in history), but absent some really unbelievable play, I think regardless of how this year ends Tatum will start next season as no better than 8th (Jokic, Giannis, Luka, SGA, Edwards, Embiid) on most ranking sites next year. It will be BS, but I think that's what happens.
Completely agree. Tatum will not be looked upon differently by many even if they win.
 

Auger34

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I think if BOS wins the championship, a lot of these JT and team questions go away. I mean you don't hear questions about Giannis even though his team has not very successful the last few years.
Agreed 1000000%. He will have “broke through” and he will have the “heart of a champion”
 

RorschachsMask

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This is what happens when you get to play with an economy of effort and can read/manipulate static defenses insanely well.
One thing I’ve always tried to tell people, and it’s somewhat tied into what you’ve been posting recently, is that how players are defended is far more important than most realize. And while it’s taken time, Tatum being as aggressively defended as he has been the past 3/4 years is really paying off.
 

Jimbodandy

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One thing I’ve always tried to tell people, and it’s somewhat tied into what you’ve been posting recently, is that how players are defended is far more important than most realize. And while it’s taken time, Tatum being as aggressively defended as he has been the past 3/4 years is really paying off.
It's reminiscent of the NFL taking a few years to realize that bringing 6 guys at QBs like Peyton Manning and Tom Brady was a terrible idea.

Tatum will burn you.
 

lovegtm

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This will be a huge part of the offense against any of the remaining teams the Celtics could face.

View: https://twitter.com/ItsGeorgeyy/status/1791490599981388223
This has a pretty big selection effect though, because Boston "PnR" comes when they want to force specific matchups and choices from the defense. Eg against Cleveland, a lot of Tatum PnR was done primarily to attack Garland via White, as opposed to being the offensive staple.

Obviously the fact that Tatum is hugely positive in those situations is good, and speaks to his value! But it's a lot like KP's iso numbers: they are high because the team uses them in specific ways to exploit specific things.
 

Euclis20

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Timpf went a step further on another video a day or two ago, backtracking from his "Ant > Tatum right now" take. The discussion was around who the five best players still alive are, and he had Tatum 3rd, behind Jokic/Luka and ahead of Ant/SGA. He specifically said that while he believes Ant will be better than Tatum within 18 months (not an unreasonable take imo), Tatum's defense and overall consistency mean that he is a better (or at least more reliable all around) player than Ant is right now.
 

lovegtm

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Timpf went a step further on another video a day or two ago, backtracking from his "Ant > Tatum right now" take. The discussion was around who the five best players still alive are, and he had Tatum 3rd, behind Jokic/Luka and ahead of Ant/SGA. He specifically said that while he believes Ant will be better than Tatum within 18 months (not an unreasonable take imo), Tatum's defense and overall consistency mean that he is a better (or at least more reliable all around) player than Ant is right now.
I'm pretty over player ranking discussions, but I do think "would this team be better if these guys swapped places?" is an interesting one.

I think Boston is worse and Minny is better if Tatum and Ant swap. Ditto OKC/Boston with SGA. Everyone is better if they swap Jokic for their star.

Luka is interesting: I'm pretty confident Boston specifically is worse if they swap him in for Tatum. Dallas might be worse with Tatum too: the lack of decision-makers and advantage exploiters on the roster would really cut down on Tatum's value, I think.

Tatum for Giannis is a fascinating one, and I don't have a strong opinion there, but Dame+Tatum+healthy Middleton+Brook is an outside title contender imo.
 

bigq

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I'm pretty over player ranking discussions, but I do think "would this team be better if these guys swapped places?" is an interesting one.

I think Boston is worse and Minny is better if Tatum and Ant swap. Ditto OKC/Boston with SGA. Everyone is better if they swap Jokic for their star.

Luka is interesting: I'm pretty confident Boston specifically is worse if they swap him in for Tatum. Dallas might be worse with Tatum too: the lack of decision-makers and advantage exploiters on the roster would really cut down on Tatum's value, I think.

Tatum for Giannis is a fascinating one, and I don't have a strong opinion there, but Dame+Tatum+healthy Middleton+Brook is an outside title contender imo.
How about Tatum for LeBron? The idea of Tatum in purple and gold hurts my feelings in a big way and obviously that trade would never happen but a lineup of LeBron, KP, JB, DW and JH would be formidable. And I think Tatum and AD could do some damage as well.
 

benhogan

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I'm pretty over player ranking discussions, but I do think "would this team be better if these guys swapped places?" is an interesting one.

I think Boston is worse and Minny is better if Tatum and Ant swap. Ditto OKC/Boston with SGA. Everyone is better if they swap Jokic for their star.

Luka is interesting: I'm pretty confident Boston specifically is worse if they swap him in for Tatum. Dallas might be worse with Tatum too: the lack of decision-makers and advantage exploiters on the roster would really cut down on Tatum's value, I think.

Tatum for Giannis is a fascinating one, and I don't have a strong opinion there, but Dame+Tatum+healthy Middleton+Brook is an outside title contender imo.
I also abhor player rankings, All-Star selections, All-NBA popularity contests.
PPG accounts for 90% of player value according to the NBA Media. They go out of their way to ignore DARKO, +/-, On-Off, etc.

Tatum uniquely changes his style of play in-game, on both offense/defense, depending on his teammates & opposing players on the floor. This is probably driven by being the son of a Coach, high IQ player, private instruction, excellent coaching, etc

The only criticism I have of JT is his shot selection (3-4 shots a game) but that's nit-picky & expect he'll grow out of it.

I'm only swapping Tatum for Joker, and I'd be nervous that Nikola would retire in his early 30s after making $400MM (end of his current contract)

Due to his work ethic & body type I suspect JT will get stronger, and improve while being a healthy, high-level player over the next decade.
 

lovegtm

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How about Tatum for LeBron? The idea of Tatum in purple and gold hurts my feelings in a big way and obviously that trade would never happen but a lineup of LeBron, KP, JB, DW and JH would be formidable. And I think Tatum and AD could do some damage as well.
I think the Lakers would be better. Not sure wrt the Celtics, just because LeBron is so smart that he'd have the offense humming with other smart/decisive guys around him. He's also an iso mismatch in a way that fits perfectly with Mazzulla and the C's other guys.

Defense would suffer for Boston, just because Tatum can give max effort for more minutes.

It's really close though--this specific Celtics roster would be amazing for old LeBron specifically.