2024 Greenville Drive (High-A)

AlNipper49

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Apr 3, 2001
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Day game today. Lefty Connelly Early gets the start. Lefty drafted in the 5th round. Does not have electric stuff. His ceiling is probably a back of the rotation type guy.
 

Chainsaw318

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Nov 6, 2006
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To put in perspective some offensive numbers:

League offense and Drive offense have friends in low places.

https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/league.cgi?id=cd876f3b

League average age as 22.3, and the average offensive line as .220/.322/.346/.668

Last season was the same for league average age (so hopefully that’s an accurate tracking stat and not just held over?) and a league line of .242/.333/.388/.721.

Maybe offense is down due to overall erosion of talent in the lower minors, or talent moving through faster to AA or maybe it’s cold and early?

Greenville was above league average in all categories by a good bit last year, with an OPS of .753, good for 3rd in a 12 team league.
This yesr, mostly below average so far, especially in OBP, where the team is a collective .301.

Milb.com has Kristian Campbell leading the lead in OPS at .951.
Tyler Miller at .849 for 14th and Allan Castro at .769 good for 26th.

Castro and Campbell are 12 and 14 in the league in OBP. 3 of the 4 of their other teammates who lead the team in PA are below .300.
 

JM3

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Dec 14, 2019
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Despite the paucity of offense in the South Atlantic League, David Sandlin still gives up runs in his starts...

Sandlin's ERA is steadily improving, but he's allowed at least two runs in each of his three starts. Despite his tendency to give up runs, he's still striking batters out at a high clip — he's collected 14 strikeouts in his three outings.
Once Sandlin stops allowing runs, hopefully the trade will look less awful...

Red Sox offseason trade with Royals is already looking awful for Boston
Any time you can judge a trade by 14 innings of relief pitching in which a guy is outperforming his xFIP by 4 runs while having an alarming dip in strikeout rate, you kind of have to do it.

Honestly it's a good subject to explore, but it's all rather clickbaity, especially the title, with no actual depth.

https://bosoxinjection.com/posts/red-sox-offseason-trade-with-royals-is-already-looking-awful-for-boston-01hwt9ne41y6
 

Mantush

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Jul 30, 2014
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Is it really though? I opined in the thread on the main board for the trade that it's odd to criticize this move. Moving Schreiber for Sandlin made sense at the time (and still does) relative to the franchise's medium and long-term outlooks. I think any time you can bring in a SP prospect #4 upside for a middle of the road reliever, you do it, especially if you are in the position the Red Sox are in. Despite the strong start, I don't think Schreiber is going to repeat his 2022 season... that's just my take though.
 

JM3

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Dec 14, 2019
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Is it really though? I opined in the thread on the main board for the trade that it's odd to criticize this move. Moving Schreiber for Sandlin made sense at the time (and still does) relative to the franchise's medium and long-term outlooks. I think any time you can bring in a SP prospect #4 upside for a middle of the road reliever, you do it, especially if you are in the position the Red Sox are in. Despite the strong start, I don't think Schreiber is going to repeat his 2022 season... that's just my take though.
I loved the trade then & I love the trade now. But it's reasonable to explore the permutations & talk about the short & long term impact of it. A discussion of the domino effect Schreiber would have had on other relievers (for better or worse), a look at whether Schreiber's bottom line results would translate to Boston with mediocre underlying stuff, & a more nuanced discussion of Sandlin which goes beyond "allows runs" could be a really good article.

Unfortunately, this just basically starts & ends at "Schreiber ERA good, Sandlin ERA bad, trade awful".
 

JM3

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Dec 14, 2019
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Part of the issue with the Greenville offense is that a lot of guys who should be contributing there by now got hurt.

Bleis, Brannon, & Mikey to name a few obvious ones.

Guys like Jhostynxon & Johanfran would have been candidates for promotion by now if not injured this season, & Justin Riemer could be in Greenville if it weren't for him suffering a setback regarding his knee injury recovery.
 

Chainsaw318

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Nov 6, 2006
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Part of the issue with the Greenville offense is that a lot of guys who should be contributing there by now got hurt.

Bleis, Brannon, & Mikey to name a few obvious ones.

Guys like Jhostynxon & Johanfran would have been candidates for promotion by now if not injured this season, & Justin Riemer could be in Greenville if it weren't for him suffering a setback regarding his knee injury recovery.
This may be true, and if so, we will maybe see some change as Romero comes online in the coming weeks, Bleis settles in, and hopefully one or both Garcias can play.

I’m coming around to the view that due to the changes to the minors in the past few years, such as the elimination of short-season A ball, the contraction of other affiliates, and the reduction of the domestic reserve list have resulted in a reduction in quality of play in the A-ball leagues.

Earlier development of skills has to take solace at these levels, when it used to be an FCL/Extended Spring Training option and this leads to knock-on impact that the jumps to AA and AAA are more extreme.

The league ages thing I mentioned above gives me pause, though, as 22 plus feels old for this league, but that may be bias, as players we think of as impact prospects are pushed to move at younger ages (such as some thinking of Yorke is floundering at AA even though he’s just turned 22). That prospect age acceleration is a thing.