2024 Prospect Rankings Thread
- Thread starter JM3
- Start date
For better or worse, my rankings are definitely a lot more fluid than SP. I had him ranked lower than they did all of last year because he was terrible at baseball last year.
But the fact that he's been really good at baseball this year probably makes that a bad idea, even though SP eventually joined me in removing him from the top 60, so I was way ahead of that curve... but that curve (hopefully) was wrong.
While we're chatting in here, this seems like a good place for this post:
View: https://twitter.com/IanCundall/status/1788646888482201838
Ian also mentions that Mayer is 2nd among org 21 y/o at 106.1.
& this is also a good time to mention that Roman is still live to be #1 again next month lol
Stanton is 111.5 & Shohei is 110.2.
https://jona.substack.com/p/90th-percentile-exit-velocity-investigation
Umm...as far as I can tell (based solely on looking at his Fangraphs page) compared to Greenville (his main sample) last year... the only major difference is he's not hitting enough homers...
Last year he hit homers on 37.5% of fly balls. This year he's hit homers on 9.5% of fly balls.
His strikeout rate is pretty similar (30.6% last year, 31.6% this year), his walk rate is pretty similar (16.3% to 14.9%), & his line drive rate is pretty similar (29.5% to 27.1%).
He's converted more ground balls to fly balls this year (about 10%), & is pulling the ball 10% less of the time. It's quite possible this is a change in approach that he hasn't fully mastered, yet, or he isn't quite at the level of comfortability with the pitching at the level as he was by the time he got to Greenville 202 PAs into the season.
In general, I think he does need to get better at not striking out, & I think he will over time, but that's not the reason his wRC+ went from 164 at Greenville to 115 at Portland this season, which is still quite good for a 19 y/o in AA (his 20th birthday is on the 13th).
But I think we could expect to start seeing more homers & xbh soon (his ISO is down from .275 to .144), & maybe eventually the k rate will go down a bit, too.
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/roman-anthony/sa3020211/stats?position=OF
This is for fantasy baseball so you get weird stuff like David Hamilton #175, but a list that goes 700 deep is fun.
12) Roman
49) Mayer
54) Teel
161) Yoely
169) Bleis
175) Blizzard
176) Wikelman
204) Yorke
214) Fitts
236) Perales
293) Blaze
302) Yordanny
319) Slaten
346) Nazzan
404) Meidroth
443) Sandlin
469) Hickey
483) Paulino
542) Castro
567) Arias
570) I. Coffey
576) Bastardo
594) Johanfran
615) M. Lugo
674) ERC
694) Alcantara
https://rotoprospects.com/rotoprospects-top-700-rankings/
12) Roman
49) Mayer
54) Teel
161) Yoely
169) Bleis
175) Blizzard
176) Wikelman
204) Yorke
214) Fitts
236) Perales
293) Blaze
302) Yordanny
319) Slaten
346) Nazzan
404) Meidroth
443) Sandlin
469) Hickey
483) Paulino
542) Castro
567) Arias
570) I. Coffey
576) Bastardo
594) Johanfran
615) M. Lugo
674) ERC
694) Alcantara
https://rotoprospects.com/rotoprospects-top-700-rankings/
With Casas likely the long-term solution at 1B and our roster with a handful of guys who should / could be DHing what do you see happening to Blaze?
I've always sort of envisioned him for that Justin Turner role of RHH DH who can back up 1B & 3B.
Two of the guys who could be DH'ing play the positions Blaze plays, so if he plays it better than them & they DH those days, that wouldn't really change the math.
Which leaves the Yoshida issue. If he is better against righties than Yoshida in 2 years, you move on from Yoshida no problem. Obviously, how well they are both playing at that point would determine how high-class of a problem that is.
If he's good against lefties but not great against righties, you have basically a CI Refsnyder type role.
& if he's not good at anything, hopefully you move him before he Dalbecs.
Here is some formula that is obviously accurate as it has Jackson Holliday as the best hitter & Paul Skenes as the best pitcher.
View: https://twitter.com/ProspectLarceny/status/1789830289839022532
Red Sox on the hitter top 100 list:
11) Meidroth
20) M. Lugo
29) Niko
35) Roman
58) Mayer
59) Blaze
82) Paulino
97) KCamp
Red Sox on the pitcher top 100 list:
11) JoJo
15) Paez
16) Perales
87) Early
93) ERC
View: https://twitter.com/ProspectLarceny/status/1789830289839022532
Red Sox on the hitter top 100 list:
11) Meidroth
20) M. Lugo
29) Niko
35) Roman
58) Mayer
59) Blaze
82) Paulino
97) KCamp
Red Sox on the pitcher top 100 list:
11) JoJo
15) Paez
16) Perales
87) Early
93) ERC
